| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 53.6% | 49% | +4.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 80.0% | 73% | +7.4% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 71.5% | 64% | +7.8% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 71% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 66.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 52.1% | 23.5% | 24.4% |
| xgboost | 51.1% | 26.4% | 22.5% |
| logistic | 58.8% | 24.5% | 16.8% |
| Club Brugge | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1818 | 1746 |
| Surface Elo | 1818 | 1746 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 11 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | KSC Lokeren Temse | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Inter | 4 - 3 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | RAAL La Louviere | 4 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Genk | 3 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Troyes | 3 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Troyes | 3 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Sporting | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Lyon | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | Lyon | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.49 | 28.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.24 | 23.6% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.01 | 49.8% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.37 | 73.0% | 21 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.20 | 31.2% | 21 Oct 06:15 |