| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.5% | 81% | -7.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 25.8% | 74.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 30.0% | 70.0% |
| logistic | 30.8% | 69.2% |
| Linda Fruhvirtova | Liudmila Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1436 | 1675 |
| Surface Elo | 1436 | 1675 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 1 | 13 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 30 Sep | A | Zhuoxuan Bai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Liudmila Samsonova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Zhuoxuan Bai | 2 - 0 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Maria Sakkari | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Karolina Muchova | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Linda Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Marta Kostyuk | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Sep | A | Kayla Day | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep 2026 | Linda Fruhvirtova | 1 - 2 | Liudmila Samsonova |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 01 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.30 | 23.3% | 01 Oct 06:15 |