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Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-11

NFL · Sunday 11 October 2026, 17:00 UTC · finished

Washington Commanders – 27 - 27 – New York Giants

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	55.9%	64%	-7.8%	void

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	55.8%	44.2%

Inputs the models saw

	Washington Commanders	New York Giants
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.04
form diff	-0.25
rest diff	0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	-0.62
opponent strength diff	0.18
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-10T17:00:00+00:00

Washington Commanders: last 5

04 Oct	H	Indianapolis Colts	13 - 30	L
27 Sep	H	Seattle Seahawks	33 - 31	W
20 Sep	A	Dallas Cowboys	20 - 37	L
13 Sep	A	Philadelphia Eagles	22 - 24	L
04 Jan	A	Philadelphia Eagles	24 - 17	W

New York Giants: last 5

04 Oct	H	Arizona Cardinals	36 - 24	W
27 Sep	H	Tennessee Titans	12 - 7	W
22 Sep	A	Los Angeles Rams	6 - 28	L
14 Sep	H	Dallas Cowboys	28 - 20	W
04 Jan	H	Dallas Cowboys	34 - 17	W

Head to head

14 Dec 2025	New York Giants	21 - 29	Washington Commanders
07 Sep 2025	Washington Commanders	21 - 6	New York Giants
03 Nov 2024	New York Giants	22 - 27	Washington Commanders
15 Sep 2024	Washington Commanders	21 - 18	New York Giants
19 Nov 2023	Washington Commanders	19 - 31	New York Giants
22 Oct 2023	New York Giants	14 - 7	Washington Commanders
19 Dec 2022	Washington Commanders	12 - 20	New York Giants
04 Dec 2022	New York Giants	20 - 20	Washington Commanders
09 Jan 2022	New York Giants	7 - 22	Washington Commanders
17 Sep 2021	Washington Commanders	30 - 29	New York Giants

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.53	65.4%	11 Oct 12:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	2.65	37.7%	11 Oct 12:20

Generated 2026-10-30 17:07 UTC