| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 55.7% | 57% | -1.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.8% | 54.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 62.6% | 37.4% |
| logistic | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1789 | 1731 |
| Surface Elo | 1789 | 1731 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Rest days | 3 | 9 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 08 Oct | H | Valentin Royer | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Matteo Berrettini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Matteo Berrettini | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | A | Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | A | Daniil Medvedev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Adam Walton | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct 2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 2 - 0 | Valentin Royer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.15 | 46.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.74 | 57.5% | 07 Oct 06:15 |