| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 81.2% | 81% | +0.5% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 69.4% | 30.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 74.1% | 25.8% |
| logistic | 81.3% | 18.7% |
| Valerio Aboian | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1657 | 1426 |
| Surface Elo | 1657 | 1426 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.91 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.91 |
| Rest days | 5 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | A | Alan Magadan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Nov | A | Federico Coria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Alan Magadan | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Nov | A | Mateo Del Pino | 0 - 2 | L |
| 01 Nov | A | Felipe De Dios | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | H | Pedro Sakamoto | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Tomas Farjat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.65 | 27.4% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |