OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-28
⚽ Scottish Premiership · Wednesday 28 October 2026, 19:45 UTC · finished
St Mirren 0.60 1 - 1 0.20 Hibernian
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 41.8%47%-5.1%✗ miss
DCHome or away 73.4%78%-4.5%✗ miss
DNBAway (DNB) 53.9%64%-9.8%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 53.9%60%-5.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS yes 55.0%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson30.9%27.4%41.6%
xgboost37.3%30.5%32.3%
logistic33.8%29.1%37.1%
Inputs the models saw
St MirrenHibernian
Elo (pre-match)15781630
Surface Elo15781630
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.600.20
Form trend-0.600.10
Season points per game1.300.70
Season goals for / game1.101.00
Season goals against / game1.801.60
Rest days43
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W2 W · 4 D
St Mirren: last 5
24 OctHDundee2 - 1W
24 OctHDundee2 - 1W
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
17 OctAAberdeen1 - 3L
13 OctAEdinburgh City5 - 0W
Hibernian: last 5
25 OctHCeltic1 - 2L
25 OctHCeltic1 - 2L
17 OctHFalkirk1 - 2L
17 OctHFalkirk1 - 2L
10 OctADundee United0 - 1L
Head to head
14 Feb 2026Hibernian2 - 0St Mirren
08 Nov 2025St Mirren0 - 3Hibernian
31 Aug 2025Hibernian1 - 1St Mirren
14 May 2025St Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
16 Feb 2025St Mirren0 - 0Hibernian
09 Nov 2024Hibernian1 - 2St Mirren
04 Aug 2024St Mirren3 - 0Hibernian
03 Feb 2024Hibernian0 - 3St Mirren
08 Nov 2023St Mirren2 - 2Hibernian
06 Aug 2023Hibernian2 - 3St Mirren
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away2.0548.8%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2draw3.3030.3%28 Oct 19:45
Bet3651X2home3.5028.6%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.9551.3%28 Oct 19:45
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.9052.6%28 Oct 19:45
SportyBet1X2away2.2245.1%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.6727.3%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1631.6%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.6959.2%28 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.2045.5%28 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:23 UTC