| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 67.2% | 68% | -0.4% |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.3% | 62.7% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 33.7% | 66.2% |
| logistic | 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Pedro Vives Marcos | Alejandro Moro Canas | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1678 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1678 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 1.42 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W 路 0 D |
| 11 Nov | A | Jay Clarke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Manas Dhamne | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Nov | A | Yannik Kelm | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | A | Nagoudi, Adam | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Max Wiskandt | 1 - 2 | L |
| 11 Nov | A | Aziz Dougaz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Rahmani, Kasra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Wissam Abderrahman | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Nov | H | Duje Ajdukovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 06 Nov | H | John Echeverria | 2 - 1 | W |
| 02 Oct 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | Pedro Vives Marcos |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Alejandro Moro Canas | 1 - 2 | Pedro Vives Marcos |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.48 | 67.6% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.55 | 39.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |