| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 70.5% | 75% | -4.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 28.9% | 71.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 22.1% | 77.9% |
| logistic | 25.5% | 74.5% |
| Joel Schwaerzler | Titouan Droguet | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1620 | 1928 |
| Surface Elo | 1620 | 1928 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Rest days | 7 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Federico Cina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Jack Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Felix Balshaw | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Daniel Altmaier | 1 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Harold Mayot | 2 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Dino Prizmic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Mark Lajal | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.33 | 75.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.45 | 29.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |