| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 77.2% | 98% | -20.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 73.2% | 26.8% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 97.3% | 2.7% |
| logistic | 70.8% | 29.2% |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | Boris Arias | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1554 | 1327 |
| Surface Elo | 1554 | 1327 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.75 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 5 | 27 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Juan Pablo Varillas | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | H | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 21 Sep | A | Calvin Hemery | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | H | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 0 - 2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Santiago De La Fuente | 0 - 1 | L |
| 23 Mar | H | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 04 Mar | H | Juan Bautista Torres | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Oct | H | Gerard Campana Lee | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 11.50 | 8.7% | 25 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.02 | 98.0% | 25 Oct 06:15 |