| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 64.8% | 64% | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 51.4% | 48.6% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 67.0% | 32.9% |
| logistic | 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Lui Maxted | Andrew Fenty | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1413 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1413 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Roger Pascual Ferra | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | A | Luca Potenza | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Francisco Rocha | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | A | Stice, T | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | Johannus Monday | 1 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Shunsuke Mitsui | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | A | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Dylan Dietrich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Igor Marcondes | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.57 | 63.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |