| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.7% | 45% | +1.3% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 75.2% | 79% | -3.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 59.5% | 61% | -1.3% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 57% | +0.2% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 55.9% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 27.5% | 22.0% | 50.5% |
| xgboost | 32.7% | 32.9% | 34.4% |
| logistic | 36.3% | 26.5% | 37.2% |
| Swansea | West Ham | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1652 | 1684 |
| Surface Elo | 1652 | 1684 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.60 | 2.90 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| Rest days | 3 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Millwall | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Norwich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Norwich | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Lincoln | 2 - 1 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Lincoln | 6 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | Lincoln | 6 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Braintree Town | 4 - 2 | W |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Oct | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 03 Mar 2018 | Swansea | 4 - 1 | West Ham |
| 30 Sep 2017 | West Ham | 1 - 0 | Swansea |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 1.96 | 51.0% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 3.30 | 30.3% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.32 | 43.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.71 | 27.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.03 | 33.0% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.78 | 56.2% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 17 Oct 06:15 |