| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 64.8% | 73% | -8.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Draw or away | 87.0% | 90% | -2.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 83.2% | 87% | -4.1% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.8% | 74% | -17.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 53.7% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 16.4% | 19.5% | 64.1% |
| xgboost | 13.0% | 15.1% | 71.9% |
| logistic | 9.6% | 20.3% | 70.1% |
| Venezia | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1573 | 1933 |
| Surface Elo | 1573 | 1933 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 2.67 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 4 W · 0 D |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Genoa | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Napoli | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Atalanta | 1 - 3 | L |
| 27 Oct | H | Scafatese Calcio 1922 | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 25 Oct | H | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 24 Oct | H | ASD Sorrento 1945 | 1 - 1 | D |
| 21 Oct | H | Shakhtar D | 1 - 0 | W |
| 12 Jan 2025 | Venezia | 0 - 1 | Inter |
| 03 Nov 2024 | Inter | 1 - 0 | Venezia |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Inter | 2 - 1 | Venezia |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Inter |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.39 | 71.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 6.02 | 16.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 7.58 | 13.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.36 | 73.5% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 3.30 | 30.3% | 27 Oct 06:15 |