| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.6% | 95% | -22.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 8.1% | 91.9% |
| logistic | 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Charles Chen | Lilian Marmousez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1397 | 1551 |
| Surface Elo | 1397 | 1551 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.60 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.50 | 1.60 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 23 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 04 Oct | H | Petr Nesterov | 1 - 2 | L |
| 23 Sep | H | Andrea Colombo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Sep | H | Salvestre, D | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Sep | H | Daniel Evans | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 May | H | Yusuke Takahashi | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Oct | H | Liam Gavrielides | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Kaan Isik Kosaner | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Sep | H | Talan Lopatic, Luka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Bruno Pujol Navarro | 2 - 1 | W |
| 23 Sep | H | Reyniak, Matias | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.05 | 95.2% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 8.00 | 12.5% | 28 Oct 06:15 |