| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 79.0% | 88% | -8.7% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 68.7% | 31.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 86.7% | 13.3% |
| logistic | 69.7% | 30.3% |
| Thiago Seyboth Wild | Nicolas Kicker | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1776 | 1604 |
| Surface Elo | 1776 | 1604 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.57 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.86 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.29 | 0.83 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 3 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 15 Oct | H | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Mateus Alves | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Hugo Dellien | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francisco Comesana | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Nicolas Kicker | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Oct | H | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Thiago Cigarran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Seyboth Wild | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Facundo Mena | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Thiago Cigarran | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 1 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 21 Feb 2022 | Nicolas Kicker | 1 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| 01 Nov 2021 | Nicolas Kicker | 0 - 2 | Thiago Seyboth Wild |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 5.25 | 19.1% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.14 | 87.7% | 16 Oct 06:15 |