| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.9% | 58% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 62.1% | 37.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 46.5% | 53.4% |
| logistic | 45.2% | 54.8% |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1449 | 1462 |
| Surface Elo | 1449 | 1462 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| Rest days | 51 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Sep | H | Maximo Zeitune | 1 - 2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Max Schoenhaus | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | Andrew Fenty | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Igor Marcondes | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | H | Anton Matusevich | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | A | Filip Misolic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Jose Pereira | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Franco Ribero | 0 - 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | H | Gustavo Heide | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 28 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 28 Oct 06:15 |