| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.7% | 68% | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 47.4% | 52.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 71.5% | 28.4% |
| logistic | 69.0% | 31.0% |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1850 | 1844 |
| Surface Elo | 1850 | 1844 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.54 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 8 | 17 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Oct | H | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | A | Carlos Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Oct | A | Jurij Rodionov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Oct | A | Jurij Rodionov | 2 - 0 | W |
| 25 Oct | A | Daniil Medvedev | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Gastao Elias | 1 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Gastao Elias | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | H | Zsombor Piros | 2 - 1 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Matej Dodig | 2 - 1 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.80 | 35.7% | 07 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.47 | 68.0% | 07 Nov 06:15 |