| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.5% | 77% | -11.4% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 34.1% | 65.9% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 38.0% | 61.9% |
| logistic | 37.6% | 62.4% |
| Yshai Oliel | Florent Bax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1413 | 1555 |
| Surface Elo | 1413 | 1555 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 29 Sep | H | Courtney John Lock | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | A | Arthur Reymond | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Aug | A | Henrique Rocha | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Ergi Kirkin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 19 Aug | A | Mohamed Safwat | 2 - 0 | W |
| 01 Oct | A | Warik, C | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Sep | A | Noah Schachter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 18 Sep | A | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Sep | A | Martin Borisiouk | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Sep | H | Moise Kouame | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.30 | 76.9% | 02 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.20 | 31.2% | 02 Oct 06:15 |