| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 60.4% | 72% | -12.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 26.2% | 73.7% |
| logistic | 55.7% | 44.3% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Guillaume Dalmasso | Leonardo Rossi | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1442 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1442 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 2 | 16 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Aleksandr Braynin | 2 - 1 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Axel Garcian | 0 - 1 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Boutleux, Noah | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Roan Jones | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Clerc, Damien | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | 0 - 1 | L |
| 27 Sep | A | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Daniel Masur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | Charles Broom | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Jul | H | Lui Maxted | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.38 | 72.5% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.80 | 35.7% | 15 Oct 06:15 |