| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 52.1% | 60% | -7.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or draw | 78.0% | 84% | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 68.6% | 77% | -8.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.9% | 67% | -7.5% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.7% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 51.1% | 25.1% | 23.8% |
| xgboost | 49.6% | 25.5% | 24.9% |
| logistic | 54.6% | 23.1% | 22.3% |
| Southend | Halifax | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1574 | 1485 |
| Surface Elo | 1574 | 1485 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.70 |
| Season points per game | 2.08 | 1.54 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.38 | 1.69 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.46 | 1.15 |
| Rest days | 14 | 14 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 7 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Boston Utd | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Fylde | 3 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Fylde | 3 - 1 | W |
| 30 Sep | A | Eastleigh | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | South Shields | 3 - 2 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Stoke | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Gateshead | 4 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Gateshead | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | A | Solihull | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Halifax | 2 - 6 | Southend |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Southend | 3 - 0 | Halifax |
| 11 Feb 2025 | Southend | 3 - 1 | Halifax |
| 30 Nov 2024 | Halifax | 0 - 2 | Southend |
| 06 Jan 2024 | Southend | 3 - 0 | Halifax |
| 09 Sep 2023 | Halifax | 1 - 1 | Southend |
| 14 Feb 2023 | Southend | 2 - 1 | Halifax |
| 16 Aug 2022 | Halifax | 0 - 0 | Southend |
| 23 Apr 2022 | Southend | 1 - 0 | Halifax |
| 11 Sep 2021 | Halifax | 3 - 1 | Southend |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.44 | 69.4% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.70 | 37.0% | 24 Oct 15:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.25 | 23.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 4.20 | 23.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.68 | 59.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.49 | 67.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.55 | 39.2% | 24 Oct 06:15 |