| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 62.0% | 53% | +8.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 48.9% | 51.1% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 66.5% | 33.5% |
| logistic | 61.5% | 38.5% |
| Federico Iannaccone | Filip Cristian Jianu | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1443 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1443 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1 | 8 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Yanaki Milev | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Filip Cristian Jianu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Consolo, Simone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Giovanni Oradini | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Lorenzo Carboni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Federico Iannaccone | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Duje Ajdukovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 02 Oct | H | Radu David Turcanu | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Federico Iannaccone | 0 - 2 | Filip Cristian Jianu |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.86 | 53.8% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |