| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 43.9% | 36% | +7.5% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 78% | -3.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 55.5% | 49% | +6.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.3% | 45% | +10.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 51.1% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 41.5% | 27.0% | 31.4% |
| xgboost | 37.0% | 28.2% | 34.8% |
| logistic | 37.8% | 29.3% | 32.9% |
| Doncaster | Sheffield Weds | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1466 | 1416 |
| Surface Elo | 1466 | 1416 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 2 W · 0 D |
| 20 Oct | H | Stockport | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Stockport | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Leicester | 1 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Leicester | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Burton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 20 Oct | A | Notts County | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 5 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | AFC Wimbledon | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Huddersfield | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Feb 2022 | Doncaster | 1 - 3 | Sheffield Weds |
| 14 Aug 2021 | Sheffield Weds | 2 - 0 | Doncaster |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.40 | 41.7% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.66 | 60.2% | 23 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.20 | 45.5% | 23 Oct 06:15 |