| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.7% | 84% | -22.3% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.4% | 79.6% |
| logistic | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Viktoria Morvayova | Elsa Jacquemot | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1458 | 1454 |
| Surface Elo | 1458 | 1454 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 19 Oct | H | Lukosiute, Andre | 0 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Kuwata, H | 2 - 0 | W |
| 13 Oct | A | Irene Burillo Escorihuela | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Sara Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Sep | A | Talia Gibson | 0 - 2 | L |
| 21 Oct | A | Sofya Lansere | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | H | Lea Boskovic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | H | Zanolini , Camilla | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Magdalena Frech | 1 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Magdalena Frech | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.19 | 84.0% | 22 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22 Oct 06:15 |