OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Greek Super League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
Asteras Tripolis 0.40 2 - 1 0.40 Atromitos
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 48.0%42%+5.9%✓ hit
DCHome or away 73.4%75%-1.5%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 61.7%60%+2.0%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 53.0%62%-8.6%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.9%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson32.9%32.4%34.6%
xgboost39.5%31.7%28.8%
logistic42.7%26.9%30.4%
Inputs the models saw
Asteras TripolisAtromitos
Elo (pre-match)14641485
Surface Elo14641485
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.400.40
Form trend-0.30-0.10
Season points per game0.400.40
Season goals for / game0.800.80
Season goals against / game1.801.40
Rest days2021
Head-to-head (last 10)6 W4 W · 0 D
Asteras Tripolis: last 5
04 OctHAnagennisi Karditsas 19042 - 0W
28 SepAAthens Kallithea0 - 2L
20 SepAOFI Crete2 - 2D
20 SepAOFI Crete2 - 2D
20 SepHApollon1 - 0W
Atromitos: last 5
19 SepHKifisia1 - 2L
19 SepHKifisia1 - 2L
12 SepAIraklis1 - 1D
06 SepHKalamata1 - 1D
30 AugHPAOK1 - 2L
Head to head
02 May 2026Asteras Tripolis4 - 2Atromitos
26 Apr 2026Atromitos2 - 1Asteras Tripolis
21 Feb 2026Asteras Tripolis1 - 2Atromitos
30 Nov 2025Atromitos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
03 May 2025Asteras Tripolis1 - 4Atromitos
07 Apr 2025Atromitos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
05 Jan 2025Atromitos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
14 Sep 2024Asteras Tripolis1 - 2Atromitos
11 May 2024Atromitos0 - 1Asteras Tripolis
28 Jan 2024Asteras Tripolis3 - 1Atromitos
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away3.0033.3%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw3.2031.2%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home2.3542.5%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over2.2544.4%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under1.6261.7%10 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away3.1032.3%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.2031.2%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.4041.7%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over2.2544.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.6361.4%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 19:23 UTC