| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 46.0% | 33% | +12.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 72.5% | 81% | -8.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 60.9% | 44% | +16.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 66% | -12.8% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.6% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 32.4% | 25.2% | 42.4% |
| xgboost | 29.8% | 32.1% | 38.1% |
| logistic | 30.6% | 28.0% | 41.4% |
| Yeovil | Worthing | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1426 | 1512 |
| Surface Elo | 1426 | 1512 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | -0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 26 Sep | A | Kidderminster | 1 - 0 | W |
| 18 Sep | H | Solihull | 4 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | A | Aldershot | 1 - 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Fylde | 1 - 4 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Sep | H | Halifax | 2 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | Hartlepool | 3 - 1 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Hornchurch | 1 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.80 | 26.3% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.10 | 47.6% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.52 | 65.8% | 29 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.50 | 40.0% | 29 Sep 06:15 |