| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 46.3% | 53% | -6.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or away | 74.5% | 77% | -2.9% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 60.6% | 71% | -10.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.0% | 60% | -1.9% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 58.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 43.9% | 27.0% | 29.0% |
| xgboost | 46.6% | 27.5% | 25.9% |
| logistic | 38.6% | 28.4% | 33.0% |
| FC Koln | Union Berlin | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1511 | 1560 |
| Surface Elo | 1511 | 1560 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 6 W · 3 D |
| 25 Oct | A | SC Preussen 06 Munster | 0 - 1 | L |
| 24 Oct | H | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | Schalke 04 | 0 - 0 | D |
| 24 Oct | H | SC Verl | 3 - 1 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Duisburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Augsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 Oct | A | Augsburg | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Borussia Dortmund | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | H | Elversberg | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 May 2026 | Union Berlin | 2 - 2 | FC Koln |
| 20 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 0 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 11 May 2024 | FC Koln | 3 - 2 | Union Berlin |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Union Berlin | 2 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 04 Mar 2023 | Union Berlin | 0 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 11 Sep 2022 | FC Koln | 0 - 1 | Union Berlin |
| 01 Apr 2022 | Union Berlin | 1 - 0 | FC Koln |
| 07 Nov 2021 | FC Koln | 2 - 2 | Union Berlin |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Union Berlin | 2 - 1 | FC Koln |
| 22 Nov 2020 | FC Koln | 1 - 2 | Union Berlin |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.13 | 24.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.91 | 25.6% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.88 | 53.2% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.67 | 59.9% | 27 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.25 | 44.4% | 27 Oct 06:15 |