OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-15
🎾 WTA Sao Paulo, Brazil Women, Singles · Tuesday 15 September 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Lucrezia Stefanini 1.20 0 - 2 0.60 Nadia Podoroska
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 50.0%35%+14.9%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost46.7%53.3%
logistic52.4%47.6%
Inputs the models saw
Lucrezia StefaniniNadia Podoroska
Elo (pre-match)14521442
Surface Elo14521442
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.200.60
Form trend0.00-0.30
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days1616
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Lucrezia Stefanini: last 5
15 SepHNadia Podoroska0 - 2L
30 AugAJasmine Paolini0 - 2L
30 AugADayana Yastremska2 - 1W
13 AugHMarie Bouzkova0 - 2L
13 AugAElisabetta Cocciaretto1 - 0W
Nadia Podoroska: last 5
15 SepHPaula Badosa2 - 0W
15 SepHSuzan Lamens2 - 1W
15 SepAEva Lys2 - 0W
15 SepALucrezia Stefanini2 - 0W
30 AugAIga Swiatek0 - 2L
Head to head
15 Sep 2026Lucrezia Stefanini0 - 2Nadia Podoroska
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.8535.1%15 Sep 09:05
SportyBet1X2home1.4668.5%15 Sep 09:05
Generated 2026-10-30 22:46 UTC