| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.6% | 67% | -1.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 54.3% | 45.6% |
| logistic | 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Sergi Perez Contri | John Sperle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1459 | 1406 |
| Surface Elo | 1459 | 1406 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 4 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 07 Nov | H | Ivan Gakhov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | A | Leonid Sheyngezikht | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 1 - 2 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | Sebastian Gima | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Nov | H | Stepan Baum | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Nov | H | Antonio Caruso | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Alex Marti Pujolras | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | H | Vlad Cristian Breazu | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Matthias Ujvary | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.42 | 41.3% | 10 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.50 | 66.7% | 10 Nov 06:15 |