OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Greek Super League · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:30 UTC · finished
AEK 2.20 3 - 0 2.00 OFI Crete
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 65.4%82%-16.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 88.8%98%-9.6%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 84.0%97%-12.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.3%40%+10.3%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.8%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson75.5%17.3%7.2%
xgboost83.2%9.9%6.9%
logistic75.0%16.9%8.1%
Inputs the models saw
AEKOFI Crete
Elo (pre-match)17971543
Surface Elo17971543
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.202.00
Form trend0.000.10
Season points per game2.202.00
Season goals for / game2.601.60
Season goals against / game0.600.80
Rest days2020
Head-to-head (last 10)7 W2 W · 1 D
AEK: last 5
20 SepAVolos NPS2 - 1W
20 SepAVolos NFC2 - 1W
13 SepAAsteras Tripolis1 - 1D
05 SepHAris5 - 0W
30 AugAKifisia1 - 1D
OFI Crete: last 5
20 SepHAsteras Tripolis2 - 2D
20 SepHAsteras Tripolis2 - 2D
12 SepAOlympiakos1 - 0W
06 SepHKifisia2 - 0W
30 AugAAris1 - 2L
Head to head
21 Dec 2025AEK2 - 1OFI Crete
09 Nov 2025OFI Crete0 - 1AEK
08 Dec 2024OFI Crete1 - 2AEK
18 Aug 2024AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
28 Jan 2024AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
02 Oct 2023OFI Crete2 - 0AEK
05 Mar 2023OFI Crete0 - 3AEK
09 Nov 2022AEK3 - 0OFI Crete
20 Dec 2021AEK1 - 2OFI Crete
19 Sep 2021OFI Crete3 - 3AEK
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
Bet3651X2away10.0010.0%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2draw5.2519.1%10 Oct 17:30
Bet3651X2home1.2480.7%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5over1.5763.7%10 Oct 17:30
Bet365O/U 2.5under2.3542.5%10 Oct 17:30
SportyBet1X2away10.509.5%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw6.2016.1%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.2679.4%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.5265.8%10 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.5040.0%10 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:19 UTC