OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-20
⚽ England League Two · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 18:45 UTC · finished
Cheltenham 0.80 4 - 2 0.80 Fleetwood Town
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 45.3%44%+1.3%✗ miss
DCHome or away 75.6%77%-1.4%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 57.2%60%-3.0%✗ miss
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 55.0%51%+4.0%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 50.0%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson37.0%26.9%36.1%
xgboost31.8%24.3%43.8%
logistic28.1%28.9%43.0%
Inputs the models saw
CheltenhamFleetwood Town
Elo (pre-match)14131433
Surface Elo14131433
Form, last 5 (PPG)0.800.80
Form trend0.50-0.70
Season points per game0.800.80
Season goals for / game0.801.00
Season goals against / game2.001.40
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W4 W · 2 D
Cheltenham: last 5
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
17 OctAOldham1 - 4L
13 OctHTottenham2 - 2D
10 OctHSalford0 - 2L
10 OctHSalford0 - 2L
Fleetwood Town: last 5
17 OctHRotherham2 - 0W
17 OctHRotherham2 - 0W
10 OctHWalsall1 - 1D
10 OctHWalsall1 - 1D
06 OctHBarnsley4 - 1W
Head to head
10 Mar 2026Fleetwood Town2 - 2Cheltenham
04 Oct 2025Cheltenham2 - 0Fleetwood Town
08 Feb 2025Fleetwood Town2 - 0Cheltenham
28 Sep 2024Cheltenham0 - 2Fleetwood Town
29 Mar 2024Fleetwood Town1 - 2Cheltenham
03 Oct 2023Cheltenham0 - 2Fleetwood Town
04 Mar 2023Cheltenham1 - 0Fleetwood Town
16 Aug 2022Fleetwood Town0 - 0Cheltenham
12 Feb 2022Cheltenham2 - 0Fleetwood Town
21 Aug 2021Fleetwood Town3 - 2Cheltenham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away2.2544.4%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw3.5028.6%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home3.1032.3%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.8254.9%20 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under1.9551.3%20 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC