| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 52.7% | 51% | +2.2% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 43.8% | 56.2% |
| logistic | 47.9% | 52.1% |
| Francesco Forti | Zdenek Kolar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1543 | 1574 |
| Surface Elo | 1543 | 1574 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.71 | 1.80 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.14 | 1.20 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 5 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | H | Zdenek Kolar | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | A | Carlos Sanchez Jover | 1 - 2 | L |
| 26 Sep | H | Carlo Alberto Caniato | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Sep | A | Mika Petkovic | 2 - 1 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Radu Mihai Papoe | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Filip Cristian Jianu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct | A | Francesco Forti | 2 - 1 | W |
| 07 Oct | H | Michele Ribecai | 0 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | H | Dimitris Sakellaridis | 2 - 0 | W |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Francesco Forti | 1 - 2 | Zdenek Kolar |
| 11 Apr 2022 | Francesco Forti | 0 - 2 | Zdenek Kolar |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.98 | 50.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.77 | 56.5% | 12 Oct 06:15 |