| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 66.9% | 81% | -13.8% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 64.2% | 35.8% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 79.6% | 20.4% |
| logistic | 61.4% | 38.6% |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1567 | 1441 |
| Surface Elo | 1567 | 1441 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.90 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 05 Oct | A | Xinxin Yao | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | A | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | H | Talia Gibson | 2 - 0 | W |
| 28 Sep | H | Jeremy Zhang | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Tamara Korpatsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Yexin Ma | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Sep | H | Viktorija Golubic | 0 - 2 | L |
| 28 Sep | H | Ellen Perez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 21 Sep | A | Katie Volynets | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 3.80 | 26.3% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.24 | 80.7% | 08 Oct 06:15 |