| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 51.2% | 57% | -6.3% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 78.1% | 80% | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 65.8% | 78% | -12.7% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.2% | 48% | +10.5% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 50.2% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.7% | 31.5% | 31.8% |
| xgboost | 62.8% | 14.7% | 22.6% |
| logistic | 47.8% | 23.8% | 28.4% |
| Alcorcon | Huesca | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1425 | 1356 |
| Surface Elo | 1425 | 1356 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.20 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 3.33 | 1.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 866 | 137 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 4 W · 3 D |
| 03 Oct | H | Juventud Torremolinos CF | 5 - 0 | W |
| 27 Sep | A | Real Madrid | 2 - 1 | W |
| 20 Sep | H | Gimnastic | 3 - 0 | W |
| 02 Jun | H | Burgos | 1 - 1 | D |
| 26 May | A | Levante | 2 - 2 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Aguilas FC | 2 - 2 | D |
| 19 Sep | H | Atlético Madrid | 0 - 0 | D |
| 31 May | A | Cordoba | 1 - 1 | D |
| 24 May | H | Castellon | 0 - 1 | L |
| 18 May | A | Leganes | 0 - 0 | D |
| 03 Feb 2024 | Huesca | 1 - 0 | Alcorcon |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Alcorcon | 0 - 2 | Huesca |
| 13 Mar 2022 | Alcorcon | 1 - 0 | Huesca |
| 19 Dec 2021 | Huesca | 0 - 0 | Alcorcon |
| 08 Jul 2020 | Huesca | 2 - 1 | Alcorcon |
| 30 Nov 2019 | Alcorcon | 0 - 2 | Huesca |
| 13 May 2018 | Huesca | 1 - 1 | Alcorcon |
| 09 Dec 2017 | Alcorcon | 1 - 1 | Huesca |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.50 | 22.2% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.71 | 58.5% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.10 | 47.6% | 16 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.63 | 61.4% | 16 Oct 06:15 |