| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.0% | 59% | +4.2% | |
| DC | Home or draw | 84.3% | 85% | -1.1% | |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 79.7% | 79% | +1.1% | |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 54% | +1.9% | |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 53.9% | no line |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 54.6% | 26.3% | 19.1% |
| xgboost | 70.8% | 17.1% | 12.1% |
| logistic | 64.1% | 23.1% | 12.8% |
| Salford | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1585 | 1311 |
| Surface Elo | 1585 | 1311 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 1.14 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 0.86 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| Rest days | 14 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 3 W · 1 D |
| 07 Nov | A | Carlisle | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | H | Exeter | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | H | Exeter City | 2 - 1 | W |
| 26 Oct | A | Walsall | 4 - 2 | W |
| 20 Oct | A | Bristol Rvs | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | H | Gillingham | 1 - 2 | L |
| 07 Nov | A | York | 0 - 4 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Oldham | 0 - 1 | L |
| 31 Oct | A | Accrington | 1 - 1 | D |
| 07 Jan 2023 | Salford | 2 - 1 | Northampton |
| 08 Oct 2022 | Northampton | 0 - 1 | Salford |
| 29 Jan 2022 | Northampton | 1 - 0 | Salford |
| 25 Sep 2021 | Salford | 2 - 2 | Northampton |
| 11 Jan 2020 | Salford | 1 - 2 | Northampton |
| 19 Oct 2019 | Northampton | 2 - 0 | Salford |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.90 | 20.4% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.75 | 26.7% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.70 | 58.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.88 | 53.2% | 12 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.86 | 53.8% | 12 Nov 06:15 |