| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 48.2% | 47% | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Draw or away | 75.6% | 74% | +2.0% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 63.6% | 63% | +1.0% | ✗ miss |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.9% | 63% | +1.8% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 63.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 36.2% | 26.9% | 36.9% |
| xgboost | 28.3% | 27.1% | 44.6% |
| logistic | 15.7% | 29.3% | 55.0% |
| Ingolstadt | Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1319 | 1403 |
| Surface Elo | 1319 | 1403 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Rest days | 1622 | 2715 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 1 W | 1 W · 2 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Rot-Weiss Essen | 1 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | A | SV Waldhof Mannheim 07 | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | H | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | 2 - 4 | L |
| 02 Oct | A | 1 FC Nuremberg | 1 - 3 | L |
| 19 Sep | A | FC Koln | 0 - 3 | L |
| 18 Oct | H | FC Koln | 1 - 1 | D |
| 13 Oct | A | 1. FC Saarbrucken | 4 - 2 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Hoffenheim | 3 - 2 | W |
| 20 Sep | A | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | 4 - 1 | W |
| 19 May | A | Hamburg | 0 - 3 | L |
| 06 Apr 2019 | Duisburg | 2 - 4 | Ingolstadt |
| 28 Oct 2018 | Ingolstadt | 1 - 1 | Duisburg |
| 24 Feb 2018 | Duisburg | 2 - 1 | Ingolstadt |
| 19 Sep 2017 | Ingolstadt | 2 - 2 | Duisburg |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.95 | 33.9% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.60 | 62.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.30 | 43.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |