| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 42.4% | 37% | +5.1% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.8% | 73% | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 53.2% | 53% | +0.2% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 51% | +2.4% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 48.3% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 35.2% | 29.1% | 35.7% |
| xgboost | 34.2% | 28.8% | 37.0% |
| logistic | 34.2% | 29.0% | 36.8% |
| Napoli | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1771 | 1843 |
| Surface Elo | 1771 | 1843 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| Season points per game | 1.43 | 2.43 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.43 | 2.29 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 0.43 |
| Rest days | 7 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 4 W | 1 W · 5 D |
| 24 Oct | H | Spezia | 3 - 1 | W |
| 20 Oct | H | Bodoe/Glimt | 4 - 3 | W |
| 17 Oct | A | Venezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 17 Oct | A | Bari | 1 - 1 | D |
| 17 Oct | A | Venezia | 0 - 1 | L |
| 20 Oct | H | Slovan Bratislava | 4 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Genoa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 17 Oct | H | Genoa | 2 - 0 | W |
| 14 Oct | H | Real Madrid | 3 - 4 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Como | 0 - 0 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | Roma |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Napoli |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Roma | 1 - 1 | Napoli |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Napoli | 1 - 0 | Roma |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Napoli | 2 - 2 | Roma |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Roma | 2 - 0 | Napoli |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Napoli | 2 - 1 | Roma |
| 23 Oct 2022 | Roma | 0 - 1 | Napoli |
| 18 Apr 2022 | Napoli | 1 - 1 | Roma |
| 24 Oct 2021 | Roma | 0 - 0 | Napoli |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 2.70 | 37.0% | 24 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.40 | 29.4% | 24 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 2.60 | 38.5% | 24 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.73 | 57.8% | 24 Oct 17:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.10 | 47.6% | 24 Oct 17:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.77 | 36.1% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.41 | 29.3% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.74 | 36.5% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.85 | 54.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 2.00 | 50.0% | 24 Oct 06:15 |