| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 72.5% | 78% | -5.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 20.6% | 79.3% |
| logistic | 37.1% | 62.9% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Alice Tubello | Alisa Oktiabreva | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1529 | 1657 |
| Surface Elo | 1529 | 1657 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 2.25 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.75 | 1.92 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.50 | 0.08 |
| Rest days | 7 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Ipek Oz | 1 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Martha Matoula | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Vittoria Paganetti | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | H | Helena Muzinic | 2 - 0 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Julia Grabher | 1 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | H | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Ipek Oz | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Nuria Brancaccio | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | Francesca Curmi | 2 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Lola Giza | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.28 | 78.1% | 17 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.35 | 29.8% | 17 Oct 06:15 |