| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 73.8% | 81% | -6.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.3% | 78.6% |
| logistic | 22.0% | 78.0% |
| markov | abstained: no serve/return ratings for this match | |
| Rahmani, Kasra | Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1544 | 1572 |
| Surface Elo | 1544 | 1572 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.90 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 1.93 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.36 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.79 | 0.00 |
| Rest days | 9 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 03 Nov | A | Emilien Demanet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Christian Djonov | 0 - 2 | L |
| 25 Oct | A | Liam Gavrielides | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 Oct | A | Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka | 2 - 0 | W |
| 23 Oct | H | Makhlouf, Nazim | 2 - 0 | W |
| 04 Nov | A | Penzlin, J | 2 - 0 | W |
| 18 Oct | A | Nishesh Basavareddy | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Oct | H | Tom Gentzsch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | H | Damir Dzumhur | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.24 | 80.7% | 05 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.65 | 27.4% | 05 Nov 06:15 |