OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-10
⚽ Germany Bundesliga · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 UTC · finished
Augsburg 1.40 2 - 2 2.60 Bayern München
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win 61.4%83%-21.3%✗ miss
DCDraw or away 85.1%94%-8.6%✓ hit
DNBAway (DNB) 79.1%93%-13.6%void
O/U 2.5Over 2.5 57.8%87%-29.1%✓ hit
BTTSBTTS yes 57.9%no line✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson11.3%15.2%73.5%
xgboost15.5%22.1%62.4%
logistic9.0%17.5%73.5%
Inputs the models saw
AugsburgBayern München
Elo (pre-match)16231927
Surface Elo16231927
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.402.60
Form trend0.200.00
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2121
Head-to-head (last 10)3 W7 W · 0 D
Augsburg: last 5
02 OctHHertha Berlin2 - 2D
19 SepAWerder Bremen2 - 3L
12 SepHBayer Leverkusen2 - 2D
06 SepAEintracht Frankfurt4 - 1W
30 AugHSchalke 043 - 0W
Bayern München: last 5
18 SepHUnion Berlin7 - 0W
13 SepAElversberg2 - 1W
05 SepASchalke 040 - 0D
28 AugHStuttgart5 - 1W
16 MayHFC Koln5 - 1W
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Bayern München1 - 2Augsburg
30 Aug 2025Augsburg2 - 3Bayern München
04 Apr 2025Augsburg1 - 3Bayern München
22 Nov 2024Bayern München3 - 0Augsburg
27 Jan 2024Augsburg2 - 3Bayern München
27 Aug 2023Bayern München3 - 1Augsburg
11 Mar 2023Bayern München5 - 3Augsburg
17 Sep 2022Augsburg1 - 0Bayern München
09 Apr 2022Bayern München1 - 0Augsburg
19 Nov 2021Augsburg2 - 1Bayern München
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.2182.6%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw9.1410.9%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home11.738.5%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.1587.0%09 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under5.8017.2%09 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:22 UTC