| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 51.9% | 49% | +3.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 45.9% | 54.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.3% |
| xgboost | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| logistic | 50.4% | 49.6% |
| Veronika Erjavec | Nuria Brancaccio | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1434 | 1428 |
| Surface Elo | 1434 | 1428 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 2 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 22 Sep | H | Tsygourova, Katerina | 2 - 1 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Jasmine Paolini | 1 - 2 | L |
| 20 Jul | A | Leyre Romero Gormaz | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Jun | A | Leolia Jeanjean | 1 - 2 | L |
| 24 May | A | Elena Rybakina | 0 - 2 | L |
| 22 Sep | H | Maria Lourdes Carle | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 May | H | Taylor Townsend | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 May | H | Peyton Stearns | 0 - 2 | L |
| 14 Apr | A | Moyuka Uchijima | 1 - 2 | L |
| 22 Jul | A | Jaqueline Cristian | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.05 | 48.8% | 24 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.72 | 58.1% | 24 Sep 06:15 |