OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to ⚽ Football on 2026-10-03
⚽ England National League · Saturday 03 October 2026, 14:00 UTC · finished
Boreham Wood 2.60 3 - 1 2.40 Altrincham
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Home win 57.1%70%-13.3%✓ hit
DCHome or draw 81.4%91%-9.7%✓ hit
DNBHome (DNB) 74.2%87%-12.8%✓ hit
O/U 2.5Under 2.5 50.4%36%+14.7%✗ miss
BTTSBTTS no 51.8%no line✗ miss
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeDrawAway
poisson59.7%21.5%18.8%
xgboost70.7%16.3%13.0%
logistic63.5%21.7%14.8%
Inputs the models saw
Boreham WoodAltrincham
Elo (pre-match)16421497
Surface Elo16421497
Form, last 5 (PPG)2.602.40
Form trend-0.40-0.60
Season points per game3.003.00
Season goals for / game3.332.00
Season goals against / game0.670.33
Rest days33
Head-to-head (last 10)4 W3 W · 3 D
Boreham Wood: last 5
29 SepHKidderminster3 - 1W
29 SepHKidderminster3 - 1W
26 SepASolihull3 - 0W
26 SepASolihull3 - 0W
23 SepHEverton1 - 1D
Altrincham: last 5
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
29 SepAGateshead1 - 0W
26 SepHHornchurch3 - 0W
26 SepHHornchurch3 - 0W
19 SepAFylde2 - 1W
Head to head
24 Jan 2026Altrincham3 - 1Boreham Wood
13 Sep 2025Boreham Wood3 - 1Altrincham
16 Mar 2024Boreham Wood0 - 1Altrincham
19 Aug 2023Altrincham1 - 1Boreham Wood
28 Jan 2023Altrincham0 - 2Boreham Wood
27 Aug 2022Boreham Wood1 - 1Altrincham
15 Feb 2022Boreham Wood2 - 0Altrincham
13 Nov 2021Altrincham1 - 1Boreham Wood
20 Feb 2021Altrincham2 - 3Boreham Wood
21 Nov 2020Boreham Wood0 - 1Altrincham
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away5.9017.0%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2draw4.9020.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBet1X2home1.4170.9%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5over1.4071.4%02 Oct 06:15
SportyBetO/U 2.5under2.8035.7%02 Oct 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 18:18 UTC