| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 43.1% | 40% | +2.7% | ✗ miss |
| DC | Home or away | 73.3% | 75% | -1.6% | ✗ miss |
| DNB | Away (DNB) | 55.0% | 57% | -2.3% | void |
| O/U 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 56% | +8.1% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS no | 59.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 33.7% | 31.2% | 35.1% |
| xgboost | 31.7% | 30.3% | 38.0% |
| logistic | 33.0% | 27.4% | 39.6% |
| Dunfermline | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1570 | 1664 |
| Surface Elo | 1570 | 1664 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.67 | 2.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.67 | 1.50 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Rest days | 3 | 10 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 2 W | 5 W · 3 D |
| 17 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 0 | D |
| 17 Oct | H | Livingston | 0 - 0 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Ayr | 1 - 1 | D |
| 10 Oct | A | Ayr | 1 - 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | A | Morton | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Ayr | 1 - 0 | W |
| 16 Oct | A | Ayr | 1 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Livingston | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Livingston | 2 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Arbroath | 3 - 0 | W |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Partick | 2 - 0 | Dunfermline |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Dunfermline | 2 - 2 | Partick |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Partick | 1 - 0 | Dunfermline |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dunfermline | 0 - 2 | Partick |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Partick |
| 04 Jan 2025 | Partick | 1 - 4 | Dunfermline |
| 02 Nov 2024 | Dunfermline | 0 - 1 | Partick |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Partick | 1 - 0 | Dunfermline |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Dunfermline | 1 - 1 | Partick |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Partick | 1 - 3 | Dunfermline |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.45 | 40.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.30 | 30.3% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.90 | 34.5% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.93 | 51.8% | 20 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.84 | 54.4% | 20 Oct 06:15 |