OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge
Back to 🎾 Tennis on 2026-09-21
🎾 ATP Challenger Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria Men Singles · Monday 21 September 2026, 13:10 UTC · finished
Benjamin Hassan 1.80 1 - 2 1.20 Pol Martin Tiffon
Our markets (latest run)
MarketMost likelyModelBookmakerEdgeResult
1X2Away win selected68.0%65%+3.5%✓ hit
Model breakdown (1X2)
ModelHomeAway
markov32.3%67.7%
poisson37.0%35.3%
xgboost23.7%76.2%
logistic42.2%57.8%
Inputs the models saw
Benjamin HassanPol Martin Tiffon
Elo (pre-match)15341619
Surface Elo15341619
Form, last 5 (PPG)1.801.20
Form trend0.900.60
Season points per game1.501.50
Season goals for / game1.501.50
Season goals against / game1.501.50
Rest days2814
Head-to-head (last 10)0 W0 W · 0 D
Benjamin Hassan: last 5
21 SepHPol Martin Tiffon1 - 2L
24 AugHJuan Manuel La Serna1 - 2L
17 AugHDominic Stricker1 - 2L
17 AugHLorenzo Giustino2 - 1W
17 AugHGeoffrey Blancaneaux2 - 1W
Pol Martin Tiffon: last 5
21 SepAMax Alcala Gurri0 - 1L
21 SepHTommaso Compagnucci2 - 0W
21 SepABenjamin Hassan2 - 1W
07 SepAFacundo Diaz Acosta1 - 2L
31 AugAOleksandr Ovcharenko1 - 2L
Head to head
21 Sep 2026Benjamin Hassan1 - 2Pol Martin Tiffon
Bookmaker lines
BookMarketOutcomeOddsImpliedAs of
SportyBet1X2away1.5564.5%21 Sep 06:15
SportyBet1X2home2.3542.5%21 Sep 06:15
Generated 2026-10-30 17:08 UTC