| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 63.6% | 83% | -19.7% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.8% | 97% | -9.6% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 83.8% | 96% | -12.0% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 82% | -19.2% | ✓ hit |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 54.0% | no line | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 61.2% | 23.1% | 15.7% |
| xgboost | 80.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% |
| logistic | 73.1% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Ross County | Forfar | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1563 | 1366 |
| Surface Elo | 1563 | 1366 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Form trend | -0.40 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 5.00 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 3 | 3 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Oct | A | Montrose | 5 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | Montrose | 5 - 0 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alloa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 03 Oct | H | Alloa | 4 - 1 | W |
| 22 Sep | A | Clachnacuddin FC | 5 - 1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | Elgin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 10 Oct | H | Elgin | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 03 Oct | A | Dumbarton | 1 - 2 | L |
| 29 Sep | H | Formartine United | 2 - 0 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 9.80 | 10.2% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 7.10 | 14.1% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.20 | 83.3% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.22 | 82.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 4.00 | 25.0% | 13 Oct 06:15 |