| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 61.5% | 83% | -21.1% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 37.8% | 62.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 29.1% | 70.8% |
| logistic | 55.8% | 44.2% |
| Kris Van Wyk | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1535 | 1477 |
| Surface Elo | 1535 | 1477 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 6 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 13 Oct | A | Figl, Maximilian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 09 Oct | H | Picard, Mathys | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Oct | A | Anas Mazdrashki | 2 - 0 | W |
| 07 Oct | A | Freire Da Silva, Adan | 2 - 0 | W |
| 09 Oct | A | John Echeverria | 0 - 2 | L |
| 08 Oct | A | Isaac Nortey | 2 - 0 | W |
| 06 Oct | A | Andrea Colombo | 2 - 1 | W |
| 21 Sep | H | Yanaki Milev | 0 - 2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | Sandro Kopp | 0 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.21 | 82.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 3.90 | 25.6% | 15 Oct 06:15 |