| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 65.2% | 66% | -0.6% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 39.5% | 60.5% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 21.1% | 78.8% |
| logistic | 38.4% | 61.6% |
| Gabriele Piraino | Enrico Dalla Valle | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1468 | 1586 |
| Surface Elo | 1468 | 1586 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Rest days | 1 | 2 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 06 Oct | A | Jay Clarke | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Enrico Dalla Valle | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Jay Clarke | 2 - 0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Pieri, Samuele | 1 - 2 | L |
| 14 Sep | H | Samuele Pieri | 1 - 2 | L |
| 06 Oct | A | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Francesco Passaro | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct | H | Gabriele Piraino | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Luca Potenza | 2 - 0 | W |
| 02 Oct | H | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | 0 - 2 | L |
| 05 Oct 2026 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Gabriele Piraino |
| 31 Jul 2023 | Enrico Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | Gabriele Piraino |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 08 Oct 06:15 |