| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 73.9% | 69% | +4.9% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 53.7% | 46.3% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 69.3% | 30.5% |
| logistic | 81.0% | 19.0% |
| Hugo Dellien | Tristan Boyer | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1810 | 1633 |
| Surface Elo | 1810 | 1633 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | 0.00 | 0.90 |
| Season points per game | 2.31 | 1.33 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.54 | 1.11 |
| Season goals against / game | 0.38 | 1.22 |
| Rest days | 8 | 21 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 0 D |
| 01 Nov | A | Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | 1 - 0 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Valerio Aboian | 2 - 0 | W |
| 30 Oct | A | Carlos Maria Zarate | 2 - 0 | W |
| 29 Oct | A | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | 2 - 0 | W |
| 27 Oct | A | Nicolas Jarry | 2 - 0 | W |
| 19 Oct | H | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 19 Oct | A | Elmer Moller | 0 - 2 | L |
| 16 Oct | A | Matej Dodig | 0 - 2 | L |
| 15 Oct | H | Vilius Gaubas | 2 - 1 | W |
| 13 Oct | H | Alejandro Moro Canas | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Nov 2024 | Hugo Dellien | 0 - 2 | Tristan Boyer |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 2.65 | 37.7% | 09 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.45 | 69.0% | 09 Nov 06:15 |