| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home win | 65.8% | 55% | +10.9% | ✓ hit |
| DC | Home or draw | 87.0% | 82% | +5.3% | ✓ hit |
| DNB | Home (DNB) | 82.0% | 74% | +8.2% | ✓ hit |
| O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.0% | 52% | -4.0% | ✗ miss |
| BTTS | BTTS yes | 48.1% | no line | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| poisson | 57.3% | 22.2% | 20.6% |
| xgboost | 50.8% | 23.1% | 26.0% |
| logistic | 50.4% | 26.1% | 23.5% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | West Brom | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1586 | 1552 |
| Surface Elo | 1586 | 1552 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Form trend | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| Season points per game | 1.83 | 2.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 2.33 | 1.43 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 6 | 7 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 1 W · 1 D |
| 13 Sep | A | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 0 | W |
| 06 Sep | A | Birmingham | 2 - 2 | D |
| 01 Sep | A | West Ham | 2 - 4 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | Stoke | 4 - 1 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | Preston | 3 - 1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | QPR | 1 - 1 | D |
| 09 Sep | A | Derby | 1 - 0 | W |
| 05 Sep | H | Watford | 1 - 0 | W |
| 02 Sep | H | Charlton | 1 - 1 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Middlesbrough | 1 - 3 | L |
| 03 May 2021 | West Brom | 1 - 1 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 16 Jan 2021 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 2 - 3 | West Brom |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1X2 | away | 4.00 | 25.0% | 20 Sep 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | draw | 3.60 | 27.8% | 20 Sep 12:00 |
| Bet365 | 1X2 | home | 1.81 | 55.2% | 20 Sep 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | over | 2.00 | 50.0% | 20 Sep 12:00 |
| Bet365 | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.80 | 55.6% | 20 Sep 12:00 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 4.16 | 24.0% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | draw | 3.73 | 26.8% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 1.92 | 52.1% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | over | 1.91 | 52.4% | 20 Sep 06:15 |
| SportyBet | O/U 2.5 | under | 1.94 | 51.5% | 20 Sep 06:15 |