| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 74.7% | 71% | +3.8% | ✓ hit |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 30.9% | 69.1% |
| poisson | 37.0% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 32.1% | 67.8% |
| logistic | 29.1% | 70.9% |
| Buvaysar Gadamauri | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1575 | 1811 |
| Surface Elo | 1575 | 1811 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Form trend | -0.30 | 0.00 |
| Season points per game | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| Season goals for / game | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Season goals against / game | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 1 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 10 Nov | H | Dusan Lajovic | 1 - 0 | W |
| 09 Nov | H | Ugo Blanchet | 2 - 1 | W |
| 08 Nov | H | Vadym Ursu | 2 - 0 | W |
| 05 Nov | A | Felix Gill | 0 - 2 | L |
| 03 Nov | H | Pierluigi Basile | 2 - 1 | W |
| 10 Nov | A | Adrien Gobat | 2 - 1 | W |
| 31 Oct | A | Alex Molcan | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 29 Oct | H | Jiri Lehecka | 0 - 2 | L |
| 26 Oct | H | Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 2 - 1 | W |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.41 | 70.9% | 11 Nov 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.75 | 36.4% | 11 Nov 06:15 |