OgaOods

form, quantified · picks with an edge

Back to 🏈 NFL on 2026-10-20

NFL · Tuesday 20 October 2026, 00:15 UTC · finished

San Francisco 49ers – 23 - 17 – Washington Commanders

NFL forecast: home/away probabilities are conditional on no tie. Full-game moneylines include overtime; ties refund. Pick publication is disabled pending validation.

Our markets (latest run)

Market	Most likely	Model	Bookmaker	Edge	Result
1X2	Home win	76.7%	81%	-3.9%	✓ hit

Model breakdown (1X2)

Model	Home	Away
ensemble	76.7%	23.3%

Inputs the models saw

	San Francisco 49ers	Washington Commanders
playoff	0.00
elo diff	0.35
form diff	0.44
rest diff	-0.02
home field	1.00
point diff	0.58
opponent strength diff	0.06
Information cutoff (UTC)	2026-10-19T00:15:00+00:00

San Francisco 49ers: last 5

11 Oct	A	Seattle Seahawks	32 - 29	W
04 Oct	H	Denver Broncos	24 - 14	W
27 Sep	H	Arizona Cardinals	36 - 30	W
20 Sep	H	Miami Dolphins	35 - 13	W
11 Sep	A	Los Angeles Rams	27 - 7	W

Washington Commanders: last 5

11 Oct	H	New York Giants	27 - 27	D
04 Oct	H	Indianapolis Colts	13 - 30	L
27 Sep	H	Seattle Seahawks	33 - 31	W
20 Sep	A	Dallas Cowboys	20 - 37	L
13 Sep	A	Philadelphia Eagles	22 - 24	L

Head to head

31 Dec 2023	Washington Commanders	10 - 27	San Francisco 49ers
24 Dec 2022	San Francisco 49ers	37 - 20	Washington Commanders
13 Dec 2020	San Francisco 49ers	15 - 23	Washington Commanders
20 Oct 2019	Washington Commanders	0 - 9	San Francisco 49ers
15 Oct 2017	Washington Commanders	26 - 24	San Francisco 49ers
23 Nov 2014	San Francisco 49ers	17 - 13	Washington Commanders
26 Nov 2013	Washington Commanders	6 - 27	San Francisco 49ers
06 Nov 2011	Washington Commanders	11 - 19	San Francisco 49ers
28 Dec 2008	San Francisco 49ers	27 - 24	Washington Commanders
23 Oct 2005	Washington Commanders	52 - 17	San Francisco 49ers

Bookmaker lines

Book	Market	Outcome	Odds	Implied	As of
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	home	1.24	80.6%	19 Oct 19:20
Pinnacle sharp	1X2	away	4.42	22.6%	19 Oct 19:20

Generated 2026-10-30 15:55 UTC