| Market | Most likely | Model | Bookmaker | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away win | 57.3% | 66% | -8.5% | ✗ miss |
| Model | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| markov | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| poisson | 37.1% | 35.2% |
| xgboost | 35.0% | 65.0% |
| logistic | 40.9% | 59.1% |
| Milos Karol | Oleksii Krutykh | |
|---|---|---|
| Elo (pre-match) | 1465 | 1510 |
| Surface Elo | 1465 | 1510 |
| Form, last 5 (PPG) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Form trend | 0.60 | -0.30 |
| Season points per game | 0.00 | 2.40 |
| Season goals for / game | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| Season goals against / game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Rest days | 8 | 1 |
| Head-to-head (last 10) | 0 W | 0 W · 0 D |
| 12 Oct | A | Marco Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | L |
| 12 Oct | A | Florian Broska | 2 - 0 | W |
| 11 Oct | A | Dali Blanch | 2 - 1 | W |
| 04 Oct | A | Tiago Cacao | 0 - 2 | L |
| 30 Sep | A | Gabriele Bosio | 0 - 2 | L |
| 11 Oct | A | Diogo Marques | 1 - 0 | W |
| 08 Oct | H | Luka Mikrut | 0 - 2 | L |
| 07 Oct | H | Javier Barranco Cosano | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | H | Filip Pieczonka | 2 - 1 | W |
| 05 Oct | A | Luka Mikrut | 1 - 2 | L |
| No previous meetings in our data. |
| Book | Market | Outcome | Odds | Implied | As of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportyBet | 1X2 | away | 1.52 | 65.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |
| SportyBet | 1X2 | home | 2.45 | 40.8% | 12 Oct 06:15 |